AI Match Insights

Women's Championship Sep 14, 2025

Crystal Palace Women

Home
VS
13:00

Southampton Women

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Crystal Palace Women Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Southampton Women Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.54 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crystal Palace Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Southampton Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Crystal Palace Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 07 Crystal P… vs Charlton … 1-0
Apr 23 Crystal P… vs Chelsea W… 4-0
Mar 09 Crystal P… vs Chelsea W… 1-0
Jan 14 Crystal P… vs Sheffield… 6-1
Sep 27 Crystal P… vs Chelsea W… 0-7
Apr 14 Crystal P… vs Birmingha… 1-0
Mar 31 Crystal P… vs Durham Wo… 1-5
Mar 17 Crystal P… vs Sheffield… 2-0
Mar 10 Crystal P… vs Sheffield… 1-0
Feb 11 Crystal P… vs Chelsea W… 1-0
Southampton Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Southampt… vs Ipswich T… 4-0
May 04 Southampt… vs Charlton … 0-2
Apr 27 Southampt… vs Sheffield… 2-3
Mar 22 Southampt… vs Portsmout… 0-0
Feb 16 Southampt… vs Bristol C… 0-0
Feb 02 Southampt… vs Newcastle… 2-2
Jan 26 Southampt… vs Durham Wo… 1-0
Jan 19 Southampt… vs Sunderlan… 0-2
Dec 11 Southampt… vs West Ham … 3-0
Dec 08 Southampt… vs Bristol C… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Crystal Palace Women struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Southampton Women 1 - 2 Crystal Palace Women Women's Champi…
Nov 19, 2023 Crystal Palace Women 3 - 4 Southampton Women Women's Champi…
Feb 05, 2023 Southampton Women 2 - 0 Crystal Palace Women Women's Champi…
Sep 18, 2022 Crystal Palace Women 1 - 2 Southampton Women Women's Champi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crystal Palace Women Power 40
Southampton Women Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Crystal Palace Women Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Southampton Women Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.