AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 04, 2025

Barrow

Home
VS
14:00

Shrewsbury

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Barrow Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Shrewsbury Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.85 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barrow Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Shrewsbury Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Barrow Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Barrow vs Crawley T… 1-2
Sep 20 Barrow vs Crewe 1-0
Sep 16 Barrow vs Blackpool 5-0
Sep 13 Barrow vs Bristol R… 2-1
Sep 06 Barrow vs Swindon 1-3
Aug 30 Barrow vs Fleetwood… 0-1
Aug 23 Barrow vs Mancheste… 0-2
Aug 19 Barrow vs Harrogate 1-0
Aug 16 Barrow vs Notts Cou… 2-1
Aug 12 Barrow vs Preston 0-1
Shrewsbury Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Shrewsbury vs Milton Ke… 1-2
Sep 20 Shrewsbury vs Harrogate 2-0
Sep 13 Shrewsbury vs Watford 1-3
Sep 06 Shrewsbury vs Barnet 1-3
Sep 02 Shrewsbury vs Walsall 1-3
Aug 30 Shrewsbury vs Accringto… 0-0
Aug 26 Shrewsbury vs Chelsea U… 3-1
Aug 23 Shrewsbury vs Swindon 2-1
Aug 20 Shrewsbury vs Newport C… 4-1
Aug 16 Shrewsbury vs Colchester 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Barrow struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Shrewsbury struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Barrow to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barrow Power 30
Shrewsbury Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

21

Barrow Position

+1

Position Gap

22

Shrewsbury Position
Home Win Rate: 15%
Away Win Rate: 7%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.