Copa do Brasil · Sep 12, 2025 00:30

Botafogo
PWR 52
1 - 1
FT

Vasco DA Gama
PWR 51
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 2.5% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Attack47
Defense69
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Botafogo Form LDLWW
STABLE
Vasco DA Gama Form WDLLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS70%
Under 2.529%
Botafogo Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Vasco DA Ga… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Botafogo
vs
1.41
Vasco DA Gama
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Botafogo
-4
Gap
#4
Vasco DA Ga…
WR 38% 23 pts WR 35% 31 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Botafogo16655211423
Vasco DA Gama207103271831
Botafogo 10.0%
Sep 06 Botafogo v Athleti… 1-3
Sep 03 Botafogo v Flumine… 1-1
Aug 30 Botafogo v Anápolis 2-0
Aug 30 Botafogo v RB Brag… 4-1
Aug 30 Botafogo v Goiás 2-3
Aug 28 Botafogo v Vasco D… 1-1
Aug 27 Botafogo v Santos 5-3
Aug 25 Botafogo v Vila No… 2-0
Aug 24 Botafogo v Juventu… 1-3
Aug 24 Botafogo v Tombense 1-0
Vasco DA Gama 10.0%
Aug 31 Vasco D… v Sport R… 2-3
Aug 28 Vasco D… v Botafogo 1-1
Aug 24 Vasco D… v Corinth… 2-3
Aug 20 Vasco D… v Juventu… 2-0
Aug 17 Vasco D… v Santos 0-6
Aug 10 Vasco D… v Atletic… 1-1
Aug 07 Vasco D… v CSA 3-1
Aug 02 Vasco D… v Mirassol 3-2
Jul 30 Vasco D… v CSA 0-0
Jul 27 Vasco D… v Interna… 1-1
Head-to-Head (8)
Aug 28, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Botafogo
Jul 12, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0-2 Botafogo
Feb 23, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Botafogo
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3-0 Vasco DA Gama
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1-1 Botafogo
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2-4 Vasco DA Gama
Nov 06, 2023 Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Botafogo
Jul 02, 2023 Botafogo 2-0 Vasco DA Gama
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.