AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Nordeste Sep 06, 2025

Bahia

Home
VS
20:30

Confiança

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Bahia Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Confiança Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 1.61 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Bahia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Bahia vs Confiança 1-4
Sep 02 Bahia vs America M… 1-3
Aug 31 Bahia vs Mirassol 5-1
Aug 28 Bahia vs Fluminense 1-0
Aug 26 Bahia vs Palmeiras 5-1
Aug 24 Bahia vs Santos 2-0
Aug 21 Bahia vs Ceará 1-0
Aug 19 Bahia vs Santos 3-3
Aug 17 Bahia vs Corinthia… 1-2
Aug 16 Bahia vs Corinthia… 2-0
Confiança Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Confiança vs Atlético … 0-1
Sep 04 Confiança vs Bahia 1-4
Aug 31 Confiança vs Serrano RJ 2-3
Aug 30 Confiança vs Retrô FC … 1-0
Aug 28 Confiança vs Spartax 4-2
Aug 25 Confiança vs Guaraní C… 1-0
Aug 23 Confiança vs São Paulo… 0-0
Aug 21 Confiança vs CSA 0-1
Aug 17 Confiança vs Floresta 1-0
Aug 09 Confiança vs Ituano 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Bahia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 04, 2025 Confiança 1 - 4 Bahia Copa do Nordes…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bahia to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bahia Power 0
Confiança Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.