AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca SĂ©rie C Sep 04, 2025

Paraty

Home
VS
17:45

Santa Cruz RN

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Paraty Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Santa Cruz RN Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 2.42 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paraty Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Santa Cruz RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Paraty Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Paraty vs Araucária 3-2
Aug 31 Paraty vs Santa Cru… 2-1
Aug 28 Paraty vs Uniao Cen… 0-0
Aug 24 Paraty vs Uniao Cen… 2-2
Aug 04 Paraty vs Duque de … 0-1
Jul 27 Paraty vs EC Resende 4-1
Jul 23 Paraty vs Uniao Cen… 0-4
Jul 03 Paraty vs Santa Cru… 3-3
Jun 09 Paraty vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Santa Cruz RN Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 31 Santa Cru… vs Paraty 2-1
Aug 30 Santa Cru… vs América-RN 1-0
Aug 28 Santa Cru… vs Rioverden… 6-2
Aug 24 Santa Cru… vs Santos 0-0
Aug 24 Santa Cru… vs Rioverden… 1-3
Aug 18 Santa Cru… vs Santos 1-1
Aug 10 Santa Cru… vs Vera Cruz 1-1
Jul 20 Santa Cru… vs Rioverden… 4-3
Jul 03 Santa Cru… vs Paraty 3-3
Apr 05 Santa Cru… vs ABC 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Cruz RN in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 31, 2025 Santa Cruz RN 2 - 1 Paraty Carioca SĂ©rie C
Jul 03, 2025 Paraty 3 - 3 Santa Cruz RN Carioca SĂ©rie C
Jun 09, 2024 Santa Cruz RN 1 - 0 Paraty Carioca SĂ©rie C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paraty to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paraty Power 0
Santa Cruz RN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.