Copa Rio · Sep 03, 2025 19:00
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 46
Maringá
PWR 56
PWR 56
0 - 2
FT
Portuguesa RJ
PWR 46
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Maringá to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack56
Defense69
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.9
Attack39
Defense69
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G0.9
Maringá Form
WWDWW
STABLE
Portuguesa RJ Form
DDDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS55%
Under 2.541%
Maringá Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Portuguesa … Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Maringávs
0.97
Portuguesa RJDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum83%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Maringá+1
Gap#2
Portuguesa …
WR 40% 17 pts
WR 25% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maringá | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| Portuguesa RJ | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 |
Maringá
18.0%
| Aug 30 | Maringá v Caxias | 3-0 |
| Aug 27 | Maringá v Madurei… | 1-2 |
| Aug 24 | Maringá v AO Itab… | 2-2 |
| Aug 20 | Maringá v Madurei… | 4-0 |
| Aug 16 | Maringá v Retrô F… | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | Maringá v Petrópo… | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Maringá v Figueir… | 1-1 |
| Aug 09 | Maringá v Apareci… | 2-2 |
| Aug 03 | Maringá v Floresta | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Maringá v Apareci… | 1-2 |
Portuguesa RJ
10.0%
| Aug 30 | Portugu… v Bangu | 0-0 |
| Aug 27 | Portugu… v Bangu | 0-0 |
| Aug 13 | Portugu… v EC Rese… | 0-0 |
| Aug 11 | Portugu… v Rayo Zu… | 1-2 |
| Jul 30 | Portugu… v EC Rese… | 2-3 |
| Mar 22 | Portugu… v Operári… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | Portugu… v Operári… | 2-2 |
| Mar 02 | Portugu… v Operári… | 1-4 |
| Feb 28 | Portugu… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Portugu… v Oeste | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 16, 2025 | Portuguesa RJ | 3-1 | Maringá |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Portuguesa RJ | 1-2 | Maringá |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Maringá | 2-2 | Portuguesa RJ |
Key Factors
Maringá in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.