AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Aug 31, 2025

Carrarese

Home
VS
17:00

Padova

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Carrarese Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Padova Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Carrarese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Padova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Carrarese Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Carrarese vs Spezia 0-2
Aug 18 Carrarese vs Udinese 2-0
May 13 Carrarese vs Palermo 1-1
May 09 Carrarese vs Mantova 2-1
May 04 Carrarese vs Monza 2-1
May 01 Carrarese vs Sassuolo 2-0
Apr 25 Carrarese vs Sampdoria 1-0
Apr 12 Carrarese vs Catanzaro 2-2
Apr 05 Carrarese vs Cittadella 0-0
Mar 30 Carrarese vs Bari 2-1
Padova Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Padova vs Empoli 3-1
Aug 10 Padova vs Vicenza Vā€¦ 0-2
Aug 04 Padova vs Cosenza 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Padova struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carrarese Power 35
Padova Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Carrarese Position

+4

Position Gap

13

Padova Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.