Copa do Brasil · Aug 28, 2025 22:30

Bahia
PWR 58
1 - 0
FT

Fluminense
PWR 63
51% H 24% D 25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (3%) 2-1 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)āš ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityšŸ’” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Both mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 7.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense78
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G0.6
Attack59
Defense68
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.9
Bahia Form LWWDW
STABLE
Fluminense Form WLDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS93%
Under 2.537%
Bahia Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Fluminense Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Bahia
vs
2.82
Fluminense
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum89%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bahia
-4
Gap
#6
Fluminense
WR 55% 20 pts WR 62% 26 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bahia1162313720
Fluminense13823221226
Bahia 14.0%
Aug 26 Bahia v Palmeir… 5-1
Aug 24 Bahia v Santos 2-0
Aug 21 Bahia v CearĆ” 1-0
Aug 19 Bahia v Santos 3-3
Aug 17 Bahia v Corinth… 1-2
Aug 16 Bahia v Corinth… 2-0
Aug 12 Bahia v Cuiaba … 2-1
Aug 10 Bahia v Flumine… 3-3
Aug 09 Bahia v Corinth… 1-2
Aug 06 Bahia v RB Brag… 1-4
Fluminense 10.0%
Aug 27 Flumine… v AtlĆ©tic… 2-1
Aug 23 Flumine… v RB Brag… 4-2
Aug 20 Flumine… v Fortale… 0-0
Aug 16 Flumine… v GrĆŖmio … 2-1
Aug 16 Flumine… v Fortale… 2-1
Aug 12 Flumine… v AtlĆ©tic… 1-2
Aug 10 Flumine… v Bahia 3-3
Aug 09 Flumine… v Oeste 0-2
Aug 07 Flumine… v Juventu… 1-0
Aug 07 Flumine… v Interna… 1-1
Head-to-Head (9)
Aug 10, 2025 Bahia 3-3 Fluminense
May 27, 2025 Bahia 0-2 Fluminense
Aug 04, 2024 Fluminense 1-0 Bahia
Apr 17, 2024 Bahia 2-1 Fluminense
Oct 31, 2023 Bahia 1-0 Fluminense
Jun 24, 2023 Fluminense 2-1 Bahia
Dec 05, 2021 Bahia 2-0 Fluminense
Aug 30, 2021 Fluminense 2-0 Bahia
Feb 04, 2021 Bahia 0-1 Fluminense
Key Factors
Bahia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.