AI Match Insights

Carioca Série C Aug 28, 2025

Paraty

Home
VS
17:45

Uniao Central

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Paraty Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Uniao Central Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.73 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Paraty Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Uniao Central Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Paraty Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Paraty vs Uniao Cen… 2-2
Aug 04 Paraty vs Duque de … 0-1
Jul 27 Paraty vs EC Resende 4-1
Jul 23 Paraty vs Uniao Cen… 0-4
Jul 03 Paraty vs Santa Cru… 3-3
Jun 09 Paraty vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Uniao Central Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Uniao Cen… vs Maranhão … 0-0
Aug 24 Uniao Cen… vs Paraty 2-2
Aug 16 Uniao Cen… vs Maranhão … 2-1
Aug 10 Uniao Cen… vs Rioverden… 1-1
Aug 03 Uniao Cen… vs Barcelona… 3-0
Jul 27 Uniao Cen… vs Ferroviár… 0-0
Jul 23 Uniao Cen… vs Paraty 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paraty in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2025 Uniao Central 2 - 2 Paraty Carioca Série C
Jul 23, 2025 Uniao Central 0 - 4 Paraty Carioca Série C
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paraty to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paraty Power 0
Uniao Central Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.