League Two · Aug 16, 2025 14:00
Barrow
PWR 30
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Barrow
PWR 30
2 - 1
FT
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Barrow to win (70% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
70%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
0-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense53
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Barrow Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Newport County… Form
LLWLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS54%
Under 2.549%
Barrow Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Barrowvs
1.10
Newport County…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings51%
Market50%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Barrow+2
Gap#23
Newport Cou…
WR 15% 24 pts
WR 21% 21 pts
Barrow
4.0%
| Aug 12 | Barrow v Preston | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Barrow v Milton … | 0-2 |
| Aug 02 | Barrow v Chester… | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Barrow v Manches… | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Barrow v Manches… | 0-0 |
| Apr 26 | Barrow v Burnley | 3-3 |
| Apr 26 | Barrow v Burnley | 3-3 |
| Apr 21 | Barrow v Tranmer… | 0-0 |
| Apr 21 | Barrow v Tranmer… | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Barrow v Fleetwo… | 0-0 |
Newport County…
6.0%
| Aug 12 | Newport… v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Aug 12 | Newport… v Millwall | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Newport… v Crawley… | 1-2 |
| Aug 09 | Newport… v Watford | 1-2 |
| Aug 02 | Newport… v Newport… | 1-1 |
| Jul 29 | Newport… v Barnet | 2-2 |
| Jul 19 | Newport… v Torquay | 3-1 |
| May 17 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 04, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Barrow |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-2 | Barrow |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-0 | Barrow |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Newport Count… | 1-0 | Barrow |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Barrow | 1-1 | Newport Count… |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Barrow | 1-1 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Barrow | 2-0 | Newport Count… |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Barrow | 2-0 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Barrow | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Barrow | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
Key Factors
Barrow struggling (3L in last 5)
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.