League Two · Aug 16, 2025 14:00
Watford
PWR 36
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Watford
PWR 36
2 - 1
FT
Accrington ST
PWR 37
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (21%)
1-0 (19%)
0-1 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack36
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Watford Form
DLLWL
STABLE
Accrington ST Form
WLWDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.521%
BTTS29%
Under 2.579%
Watford Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Accrington … Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Watfordvs
0.66
Accrington STDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Watford+2
Gap#12
Accrington …
WR 34% 110 pts
WR 35% 94 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 83 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 112 | 114 | 110 |
| Accrington ST | 74 | 26 | 16 | 32 | 91 | 98 | 94 |
Watford
6.0%
| Aug 12 | Watford v Rotherh… | 0-0 |
| Aug 12 | Watford v Norwich… | 1-2 |
| Aug 09 | Watford v Charlton | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Watford v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Aug 02 | Watford v Crewe | 1-3 |
| May 03 | Watford v Carlisle | 2-2 |
| May 03 | Watford v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Watford v Carlisle | 2-2 |
| May 03 | Watford v Sheffie… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Watford v Manches… | 4-1 |
Accrington ST
10.0%
| Aug 12 | Accring… v Peterbo… | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Accring… v Crewe | 2-0 |
| Aug 05 | Accring… v Oldham | 3-1 |
| Aug 02 | Accring… v Birming… | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Accring… v Chester… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Accring… v Chester… | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Accring… v Walsall | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Accring… v Walsall | 0-1 |
| Apr 21 | Accring… v Carlisle | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Accring… v Carlisle | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Apr 18, 2025 | Watford | 1-2 | Accrington ST |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Watford | 1-2 | Accrington ST |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Accrington ST | 0-2 | Watford |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Accrington ST | 0-2 | Watford |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Accrington ST | 3-0 | Watford |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Accrington ST | 3-0 | Watford |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Watford | 1-2 | Accrington ST |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Accrington ST |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Watford | 0-1 | Accrington ST |
Key Factors
Watford struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.