League Two · Aug 16, 2025 14:00
Grimsby
PWR 38
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
Grimsby
PWR 38
2 - 1
FT
Newport County AFC
PWR 26
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Grimsby to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
2-0 (10%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack44
Defense66
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack31
Defense42
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.9
Grimsby Form
WDWLL
STABLE
Newport County… Form
LLWLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS55%
Under 2.544%
Grimsby Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Newport Cou… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Grimsbyvs
1.03
Newport County…Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings73%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Grimsby+11
Gap#23
Newport Cou…
WR 43% 45 pts
WR 21% 21 pts
Grimsby
10.0%
| Aug 12 | Grimsby v Shrewsb… | 3-1 |
| Aug 09 | Grimsby v Harroga… | 3-3 |
| Aug 02 | Grimsby v Crawley… | 3-0 |
| May 03 | Grimsby v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Grimsby v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Grimsby v Milton … | 0-0 |
| Apr 26 | Grimsby v Milton … | 0-0 |
| Apr 21 | Grimsby v Port Va… | 2-2 |
| Apr 21 | Grimsby v Port Va… | 2-2 |
| Apr 18 | Grimsby v Swindon | 0-4 |
Newport County…
6.0%
| Aug 12 | Newport… v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Aug 12 | Newport… v Millwall | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Newport… v Crawley… | 1-2 |
| Aug 09 | Newport… v Watford | 1-2 |
| Aug 02 | Newport… v Newport… | 1-1 |
| Jul 29 | Newport… v Barnet | 2-2 |
| Jul 19 | Newport… v Torquay | 3-1 |
| May 17 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Newport… v AFC Wim… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Newport… v Tranmer… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 22, 2025 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Grimsby | 0-2 | Newport Count… |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Grimsby | 0-2 | Newport Count… |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Newport Count… | 0-0 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Newport Count… | 4-1 | Grimsby |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Grimsby | 1-0 | Newport Count… |
Key Factors
Newport County AFC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.