AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jul 31, 2025

Sporting CP

Home
VS
19:45

Benfica

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Sporting CP Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Benfica Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.57 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sporting CP Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Benfica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Sporting CP Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 25 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-3
May 17 Sporting … vs Guimaraes 2-0
May 10 Sporting … vs Benfica 1-1
May 04 Sporting … vs GIL Vicen… 2-1
Apr 27 Sporting … vs Boavista 0-5
Apr 22 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 1-2
Apr 18 Sporting … vs Moreirense 3-1
Apr 12 Sporting … vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Apr 03 Sporting … vs Rio Ave FC 2-0
Mar 29 Sporting … vs Estrela d… 0-3
Benfica Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 Benfica vs TransINVE… 1-5
Jul 23 Benfica vs Žalgiris … 1-0
Jul 20 Benfica vs Académico… 1-1
Jun 27 Benfica vs Minija 1-1
Jun 22 Benfica vs FA Šiauli… 0-2
Jun 17 Benfica vs Panevėžys… 2-1
Jun 13 Benfica vs Hegelmann… 1-2
Jun 01 Benfica vs Kauno Žal… 1-1
May 25 Benfica vs Sporting … 1-3
May 24 Benfica vs BFA 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 25, 2025 Sporting CP 1 - 3 Benfica Taça de Portug…
May 10, 2025 Benfica 1 - 1 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
Jan 11, 2025 Sporting CP 1 - 1 Benfica Taça da Liga
Dec 29, 2024 Sporting CP 1 - 0 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 06, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Primeira Liga
Apr 02, 2024 Benfica 2 - 2 Sporting CP Taça de Portug…
Feb 29, 2024 Sporting CP 2 - 1 Benfica Taça de Portug…
Nov 12, 2023 Benfica 2 - 1 Sporting CP Primeira Liga
May 21, 2023 Sporting CP 2 - 2 Benfica Primeira Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sporting CP to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sporting CP Power 0
Benfica Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.