AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONMEBOL Sudamericana Sep 26, 2025

Universidad de Chile

Home
VS
00:30

Alianza Lima

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Universidad de Chile Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Alianza Lima Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.07 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Universidad de Chile Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Alianza Lima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Universidad de Chile Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Universid… vs Deportes … 0-1
Sep 12 Universid… vs Santiago … 0-0
Sep 06 Universid… vs Rangers d… 0-1
Sep 01 Universid… vs Recoleta 1-0
Aug 31 Universid… vs Colo-Colo 1-0
Aug 30 Universid… vs Cobresal 2-1
Aug 24 Universid… vs Concepción 1-4
Aug 24 Universid… vs Unión Esp… 2-0
Aug 17 Universid… vs A. Italia… 1-3
Aug 16 Universid… vs Colo-Colo 1-4
Alianza Lima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 22 Alianza L… vs Comercian… 4-0
Sep 14 Alianza L… vs Deportivo… 3-4
Aug 24 Alianza L… vs Universit… 0-0
Aug 17 Alianza L… vs ADT 3-1
Aug 09 Alianza L… vs Ayacucho … 0-1
Aug 06 Alianza L… vs Sporting … 0-0
Aug 01 Alianza L… vs Juan Pabl… 1-2
Jul 27 Alianza L… vs Alianza A… 1-1
Jul 19 Alianza L… vs Cusco 2-0
Jul 12 Alianza L… vs UTC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Universidad de Chile in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Alianza Lima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Universidad de Chile to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Universidad de Chile Power 0
Alianza Lima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.