Primera DivisiĂłn - Clausura · Sep 27, 2025 18:30
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
Boston River
PWR 48
Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 62
2 - 1
FT
Boston River
PWR 48
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Peñarol Montevideo to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (22%)
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
0-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack55
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G0.8
Attack43
Defense65
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.0
Peñarol Montev… Form
WWLDD
STABLE
Boston River Form
WDWWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS13%
Under 2.581%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Boston River Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Peñarol Montev…vs
0.20
Boston RiverDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…+6
Gap#7
Boston River
WR 60% 122 pts
WR 33% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol Montevi… | 60 | 36 | 14 | 10 | 95 | 49 | 122 |
| Boston River | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 33 | 43 |
Peñarol Montev…
12.0%
| Sep 24 | Peñarol… v Tacuare… | 1-2 |
| Sep 21 | Peñarol… v Juventud | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Peñarol… v Club Na… | 3-1 |
| Sep 13 | Peñarol… v Peñarol… | 2-2 |
| Sep 07 | Peñarol… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Sep 06 | Peñarol… v Plaza C… | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Peñarol… v Racing … | 1-4 |
| Aug 30 | Peñarol… v Defenso… | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | Peñarol… v River P… | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | Peñarol… v Cerrito | 2-1 |
Boston River
16.0%
| Sep 20 | Boston … v Plaza C… | 6-1 |
| Sep 13 | Boston … v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Sep 06 | Boston … v River P… | 2-0 |
| Aug 31 | Boston … v Progreso | 2-1 |
| Aug 23 | Boston … v Club Na… | 0-0 |
| Aug 15 | Boston … v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| Aug 08 | Boston … v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Aug 02 | Boston … v Defenso… | 4-0 |
| Jun 14 | Boston … v Danubio | 1-1 |
| Jun 08 | Boston … v Club Na… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 15, 2025 | Boston River | 2-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-1 | Boston River |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Boston River | 1-3 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-0 | Boston River |
| Sep 02, 2023 | Boston River | 0-1 | Peñarol Monte… |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 2-1 | Boston River |
| Feb 20, 2023 | Peñarol Monte… | 1-0 | Boston River |
Key Factors
Boston River in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.