AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Sep 27, 2025

Al Najma

Home
VS
15:35

Al-Fayha FC

Away
AI Predictions 43.7% Confidence
Al Najma Win
43.7%
Draw
25.3%
Al-Fayha FC Win
31.1%
Home Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.44 - 0.61
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Najma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Al-Fayha FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Al Najma Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Al Najma vs Damac 2-1
Sep 20 Al Najma vs Al-Ittiha… 0-1
Sep 14 Al Najma vs Al Riyadh 2-1
Aug 30 Al Najma vs Al-Qadisi… 3-1
May 18 Al Najma vs Al Jabala… 2-3
May 12 Al Najma vs Ohod 2-0
May 07 Al Najma vs Abha 1-0
Apr 30 Al Najma vs Al Riyadh 1-2
Apr 21 Al Najma vs Al Jabala… 2-1
Apr 08 Al Najma vs Al-Hazem 0-2
Al-Fayha FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 19 Al-Fayha … vs Al Shabab 0-0
Sep 13 Al-Fayha … vs Al Khalee… 3-0
Aug 30 Al-Fayha … vs Al-Fateh … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Najma struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Najma to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 81
Al Najma Power 0
Al-Fayha FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Al Najma Position

-7

Position Gap

11

Al-Fayha FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.