Cearense U20 · Sep 28, 2025 12:30
Ferroviario U20
PWR 53
2 - 1
FT
Ceará U20
PWR 77
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense60
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.2
Attack95
Defense71
Goals/G2.7
Conc/G0.8
Ferroviario U20 Form LWWWW
STABLE
Ceará U20 Form WLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.528%
BTTS34%
Under 2.572%
Ferroviario… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Ceará U20 Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Ferroviario U20
vs
0.66
Ceará U20
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Ferroviario…
-1
Gap
#2
Ceará U20
WR 46% 21 pts WR 64% 22 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Ferroviario U2013634191521
Ceará U201171330922
Ferroviario U20 16.0%
Sep 24 Ferrovi… v Ceará U… 2-0
Sep 13 Ferrovi… v Florest… 2-1
Aug 23 Ferrovi… v Itarema… 0-7
Aug 09 Ferrovi… v Itapipo… 2-0
Aug 02 Ferrovi… v Pacatub… 0-1
Jul 12 Ferrovi… v Pague M… 1-1
Jun 28 Ferrovi… v Quixadá… 2-0
Jun 04 Ferrovi… v Fortale… 2-2
May 31 Ferrovi… v Atlétic… 0-0
Ceará U20 16.0%
Sep 24 Ceará U… v Ferrovi… 2-0
Sep 06 Ceará U… v Fortale… 1-0
Aug 23 Ceará U… v Atlétic… 0-2
Jul 30 Ceará U… v Itarema… 5-1
Jul 25 Ceará U… v Itapipo… 1-2
Jul 12 Ceará U… v Pacatub… 4-0
Jun 28 Ceará U… v Pague M… 2-2
Jun 14 Ceará U… v Quixadá… 5-1
May 31 Ceará U… v Limoeir… 7-0
Jul 24 Ceará U… v Athleti… 4-3
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 24, 2025 Ceará U20 2-0 Ferroviario U…
Key Factors
Ferroviario U20 in strong form (4W in last 5)
Ceará U20 in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.