AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano 2 Sep 29, 2025

Guarabira

Home
VS
23:00

Atlético Alagoinhas

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Guarabira Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.55 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guarabira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Guarabira Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Guarabira vs Miramar 1-4
Sep 21 Guarabira vs Cruzeiro 2-1
Sep 17 Guarabira vs Confiança 0-0
Sep 14 Guarabira vs Sabugy 2-0
Sep 11 Guarabira vs Miramar 1-1
Sep 08 Guarabira vs Serrano RJ 1-2
Sep 04 Guarabira vs Spartax 2-2
Aug 31 Guarabira vs São Paulo… 2-1
Aug 28 Guarabira vs Atlético … 2-3
Aug 24 Guarabira vs Queimaden… 1-2
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Atlético … vs América d… 2-0
Sep 21 Atlético … vs São Paulo… 3-0
Sep 20 Atlético … vs Flamengo 2-0
Sep 18 Atlético … vs Miramar 2-0
Sep 15 Atlético … vs Frei Paul… 0-1
Sep 14 Atlético … vs Queimaden… 3-0
Sep 11 Atlético … vs Serrano RJ 3-3
Sep 07 Atlético … vs Cruzeiro 3-0
Sep 04 Atlético … vs Confiança 0-1
Sep 01 Atlético … vs Spartax 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Alagoinhas in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2025 Atlético Alagoinhas 2 - 3 Guarabira Paraibano 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guarabira to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guarabira Power 0
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.