Predictions Match Details
Capixaba B · Sep 28, 2025 18:00

Fortaleza
PWR 84
2 - 1
FT

Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Fortaleza to win (65% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
65%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack77
Defense93
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.2
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.9
Fortaleza Form WWLDL
STABLE
Estrela do Nor… Form WLWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS33%
Under 2.573%
Fortaleza Goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Estrela do … Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Fortaleza
vs
0.66
Estrela do Nor…
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Fortaleza
+2
Gap
#10
Estrela do …
WR 80% 13 pts WR 43% 9 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Fortaleza541011113
Estrela do Norte73041269
Fortaleza 10.0%
Sep 27 Fortale… v Sport R… 1-0
Sep 23 Fortale… v Juventu… 5-0
Sep 21 Fortale… v Palmeir… 4-1
Sep 20 Fortale… v Linhares 0-0
Sep 17 Fortale… v RB Brag… 2-0
Sep 14 Fortale… v GEL 7-0
Sep 13 Fortale… v Vitoria 2-0
Sep 03 Fortale… v Atlétic… 3-0
Aug 31 Fortale… v Interna… 2-1
Aug 27 Fortale… v Atlétic… 1-2
Estrela do Nor… 12.0%
Sep 20 Estrela… v GEL 0-5
Sep 15 Estrela… v Pinheir… 0-1
Aug 29 Estrela… v Serra T… 1-2
Aug 25 Estrela… v Desport… 4-0
Aug 11 Estrela… v Linhares 0-1
Key Factors
Estrela do Norte in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.