AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Cearense U20 Oct 02, 2025

Ceará U20

Home
VS
18:00

Ferroviario U20

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Ceará U20 Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Ferroviario U20 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 3.91 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceará U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Ferroviario U20 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Ceará U20 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Ceará U20 vs Ferroviar… 2-1
Sep 24 Ceará U20 vs Ferroviar… 2-0
Sep 06 Ceará U20 vs Fortaleza… 1-0
Aug 23 Ceará U20 vs Atlético … 0-2
Jul 30 Ceará U20 vs Itarema U… 5-1
Jul 25 Ceará U20 vs Itapipoca… 1-2
Jul 12 Ceará U20 vs Pacatuba … 4-0
Jun 28 Ceará U20 vs Pague Men… 2-2
Jun 14 Ceará U20 vs Quixadá U… 5-1
May 31 Ceará U20 vs Limoeiro … 7-0
Ferroviario U20 Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Ferroviar… vs Ceará U20 2-1
Sep 24 Ferroviar… vs Ceará U20 2-0
Sep 13 Ferroviar… vs Floresta … 2-1
Aug 23 Ferroviar… vs Itarema U… 0-7
Aug 09 Ferroviar… vs Itapipoca… 2-0
Aug 02 Ferroviar… vs Pacatuba … 0-1
Jul 12 Ferroviar… vs Pague Men… 1-1
Jun 28 Ferroviar… vs Quixadá U… 2-0
Jun 04 Ferroviar… vs Fortaleza… 2-2
May 31 Ferroviar… vs Atlético … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ceará U20 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ferroviario U20 in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2025 Ferroviario U20 2 - 1 Ceará U20 Cearense U20
Sep 24, 2025 Ceará U20 2 - 0 Ferroviario U20 Cearense U20
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ceará U20 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceará U20 Power 0
Ferroviario U20 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.