AI Match Insights

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Serie B Oct 26, 2025

Bari

Home
VS
16:15

Mantova

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Bari Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Mantova Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.45 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Mantova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (21%) 3-0 (17%) 1-0 (17%) 0-0 (7%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Bari Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Bari vs Reggiana … 3-1
Oct 09 Bari vs Morocco 1-0
Oct 04 Bari vs Padova 2-1
Sep 30 Bari vs Virtus En… 2-2
Sep 27 Bari vs Sampdoria 1-1
Sep 19 Bari vs Palermo 2-0
Sep 13 Bari vs Modena 3-0
Sep 08 Bari vs United Ar… 1-0
Sep 03 Bari vs Qatar 2-2
Aug 31 Bari vs Monza 1-1
Mantova Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Mantova vs Sudtirol 1-1
Oct 04 Mantova vs Avellino 0-0
Sep 30 Mantova vs Juve Stab… 2-1
Sep 27 Mantova vs Frosinone 1-5
Sep 20 Mantova vs Modena 1-3
Sep 14 Mantova vs Virtus En… 1-0
Aug 30 Mantova vs Pescara 2-1
Aug 23 Mantova vs Monza 1-0
Aug 16 Mantova vs Venezia 4-0
Aug 02 Mantova vs Cosenza 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mantova struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Mantova 0 - 1 Bari Serie B
Sep 14, 2024 Bari 2 - 0 Mantova Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bari to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bari Power 27
Mantova Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

19

Bari Position

-1

Position Gap

18

Mantova Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.