La Liga · Oct 26, 2025 17:30
Osasuna
PWR 35
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Osasuna
PWR 35
2 - 3
FT
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
2-1 (6%)
0-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Osasuna Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Celta de Vigo Form
WDDWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS24%
Under 2.550%
Osasuna Goals
0
8%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Osasunavs
0.30
Celta de VigoDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings46%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Osasuna-2
Gap#7
Celta de Vi…
WR 55% 29 pts
WR 46% 33 pts
Osasuna
6.0%
| Oct 18 | Osasuna v Atlétic… | 1-0 |
| Oct 03 | Osasuna v Getafe | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Osasuna v Real Be… | 2-0 |
| Sep 25 | Osasuna v Elche | 1-1 |
| Sep 20 | Osasuna v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Sep 14 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 2-0 |
| Aug 31 | Osasuna v Espanyol | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Osasuna v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Osasuna v Real Ma… | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Osasuna v SC Frei… | 2-2 |
Celta de Vigo
12.0%
| Oct 23 | Celta d… v Nice | 2-1 |
| Oct 19 | Celta d… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Oct 05 | Celta d… v Atlétic… | 1-1 |
| Oct 02 | Celta d… v PAOK | 3-1 |
| Sep 28 | Celta d… v Elche | 2-1 |
| Sep 25 | Celta d… v VfB Stu… | 2-1 |
| Sep 21 | Celta d… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Celta d… v Girona | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Celta d… v Villarr… | 1-1 |
| Aug 27 | Celta d… v Real Be… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Feb 21, 2025 | Celta de Vigo | 1-0 | Osasuna |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Osasuna | 3-2 | Celta de Vigo |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Osasuna | 0-3 | Celta de Vigo |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 0-2 | Osasuna |
| Mar 06, 2023 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Nov 05, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 1-2 | Osasuna |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Celta de Vigo | 2-1 | Osasuna |
Key Factors
Osasuna struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.