AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Championship Oct 02, 2025

Sacramento Republic

Home
VS
02:30

Orange County SC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Sacramento Republic Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Orange County SC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.59 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sacramento Republic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Orange County SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Sacramento Republic Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Sacrament… vs Monterrey 1-0
Sep 21 Sacrament… vs Colorado … 0-2
Sep 14 Sacrament… vs Phoenix R… 2-2
Sep 06 Sacrament… vs Tampa Bay… 0-2
Aug 31 Sacrament… vs New Mexic… 0-2
Aug 24 Sacrament… vs El Paso L… 1-0
Aug 17 Sacrament… vs Oakland R… 3-3
Aug 10 Sacrament… vs Monterrey 1-0
Aug 03 Sacrament… vs San Anton… 1-3
Jul 20 Sacrament… vs Upington … 0-0
Orange County SC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Orange Co… vs Charlesto… 2-2
Sep 21 Orange Co… vs San Anton… 3-1
Sep 12 Orange Co… vs Upington … 1-1
Sep 06 Orange Co… vs Detroit C… 4-1
Aug 31 Orange Co… vs Birmingha… 4-4
Aug 24 Orange Co… vs FC UFA 1-0
Aug 17 Orange Co… vs Colorado … 0-1
Aug 09 Orange Co… vs Pittsburg… 1-1
Jul 31 Orange Co… vs Phoenix R… 4-1
Jul 20 Orange Co… vs Las Vegas… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sacramento Republic in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 29, 2025 Orange County SC 1 - 0 Sacramento Republic USL League One…
Apr 13, 2025 Orange County SC 2 - 1 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Apr 21, 2024 Orange County SC 0 - 2 Sacramento Republic USL Championsh…
Mar 10, 2024 Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 Orange County SC USL Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sacramento Republic to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sacramento Republic Power 0
Orange County SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.