AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAI Cup Oct 03, 2025

Cork City

Home
VS
18:30

St Patrick's Athl.

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Cork City Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
St Patrick's Athl. Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.11 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cork City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
St Patrick's Athl. Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Cork City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Cork City vs Galaxy 2-1
Sep 22 Cork City vs St Patric… 4-0
Sep 19 Cork City vs Shamrock … 1-1
Sep 12 Cork City vs Finn Harps 0-3
Aug 29 Cork City vs Waterford 2-0
Aug 22 Cork City vs Bohemians… 3-0
Aug 15 Cork City vs Waterford 2-1
Aug 08 Cork City vs Derry City 0-0
Aug 01 Cork City vs Galaxy 1-0
Jul 25 Cork City vs Sligo Rov… 2-3
St Patrick's Athl. Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 St Patric… vs Sligo Rov… 1-0
Sep 22 St Patric… vs Cork City 4-0
Sep 19 St Patric… vs Galaxy 1-1
Sep 14 St Patric… vs Galaxy 3-1
Aug 29 St Patric… vs Derry City 2-2
Aug 22 St Patric… vs Drogheda … 0-1
Aug 17 St Patric… vs Shelbourne 2-0
Aug 14 St Patric… vs Besiktas 3-2
Aug 10 St Patric… vs Sligo Rov… 3-0
Aug 07 St Patric… vs Besiktas 1-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2025 St Patrick's Athl. 4 - 0 Cork City Premier Divisi…
Jun 27, 2025 Cork City 0 - 0 St Patrick's Athl. Premier Divisi…
May 16, 2025 St Patrick's Athl. 3 - 2 Cork City Premier Divisi…
Apr 11, 2025 Cork City 0 - 2 St Patrick's Athl. Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cork City to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cork City Power 0
St Patrick's Athl. Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.