Capixaba B · Oct 04, 2025 19:30

Estrela do Norte
PWR 58

Fortaleza
PWR 84

Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
0 - 1
FT

Fortaleza
PWR 84
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (59% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
59%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (21%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.9
Attack77
Defense93
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.2
Estrela do Nor… Form
LWLWW
STABLE
Fortaleza Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS16%
Under 2.561%
Estrela do … Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Fortaleza Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Estrela do Nor…vs
0.20
FortalezaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Estrela do …-2
Gap#8
Fortaleza
WR 43% 9 pts
WR 80% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 9 |
| Fortaleza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
Estrela do Nor…
12.0%
| Sep 28 | Estrela… v Fortale… | 2-1 |
| Sep 20 | Estrela… v GEL | 0-5 |
| Sep 15 | Estrela… v Pinheir… | 0-1 |
| Aug 29 | Estrela… v Serra T… | 1-2 |
| Aug 25 | Estrela… v Desport… | 4-0 |
| Aug 11 | Estrela… v Linhares | 0-1 |
Fortaleza
12.0%
| Oct 02 | Fortale… v São Pau… | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 5-0 |
| Sep 21 | Fortale… v Palmeir… | 4-1 |
| Sep 20 | Fortale… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Fortale… v RB Brag… | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortale… v GEL | 7-0 |
| Sep 13 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Sep 03 | Fortale… v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fortaleza | 2-1 | Estrela do No… |
Key Factors
Estrela do Norte in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.