Capixaba B · Oct 04, 2025 19:30

Estrela do Norte
PWR 58
0 - 1
FT

Fortaleza
PWR 84
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Fortaleza to win (59% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
59%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.9
Attack77
Defense93
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.2
Estrela do Nor… Form LWLWW
STABLE
Fortaleza Form LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS16%
Under 2.561%
Estrela do … Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Fortaleza Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Estrela do Nor…
vs
0.20
Fortaleza
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Estrela do …
-2
Gap
#8
Fortaleza
WR 43% 9 pts WR 80% 13 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Estrela do Norte73041269
Fortaleza541011113
Estrela do Nor… 12.0%
Sep 28 Estrela… v Fortale… 2-1
Sep 20 Estrela… v GEL 0-5
Sep 15 Estrela… v Pinheir… 0-1
Aug 29 Estrela… v Serra T… 1-2
Aug 25 Estrela… v Desport… 4-0
Aug 11 Estrela… v Linhares 0-1
Fortaleza 12.0%
Oct 02 Fortale… v São Pau… 0-2
Sep 28 Fortale… v Estrela… 2-1
Sep 27 Fortale… v Sport R… 1-0
Sep 23 Fortale… v Juventu… 5-0
Sep 21 Fortale… v Palmeir… 4-1
Sep 20 Fortale… v Linhares 0-0
Sep 17 Fortale… v RB Brag… 2-0
Sep 14 Fortale… v GEL 7-0
Sep 13 Fortale… v Vitoria 2-0
Sep 03 Fortale… v Atlétic… 3-0
Head-to-Head (1)
Sep 28, 2025 Fortaleza 2-1 Estrela do No…
Key Factors
Estrela do Norte in strong form (3W in last 5)
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.