AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Nov 01, 2025

Napoli

Home
VS
17:00

Como

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Napoli Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Como Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.95 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Como Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Napoli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Napoli vs Lecce 0-1
Oct 25 Napoli vs Inter 3-1
Oct 21 Napoli vs PSV Eindh… 6-2
Oct 18 Napoli vs Torino 1-0
Oct 05 Napoli vs Genoa 2-1
Oct 01 Napoli vs Sporting … 2-1
Sep 28 Napoli vs AC Milan 2-1
Sep 22 Napoli vs Pisa 3-2
Sep 18 Napoli vs Mancheste… 2-0
Sep 13 Napoli vs Fiorentina 1-3
Como Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 Como vs Verona 3-1
Oct 25 Como vs Parma 0-0
Oct 19 Como vs Juventus 2-0
Oct 12 Como vs Uganda 1-0
Oct 04 Como vs Atalanta 1-1
Sep 27 Como vs Cremonese 1-1
Sep 24 Como vs Sassuolo 3-0
Sep 21 Como vs Fiorentina 1-2
Sep 15 Como vs Genoa 1-1
Sep 04 Como vs Mali 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Napoli in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2025 Como 2 - 1 Napoli Serie A
Oct 04, 2024 Napoli 3 - 1 Como Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Napoli to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Napoli Power 40
Como Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Napoli Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Como Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.