AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Carioca B2 Nov 09, 2025

SE Belford Roxo

Home
VS
18:00

Serra Macaense

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
SE Belford Roxo Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Serra Macaense Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 0.81
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SE Belford Roxo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Serra Macaense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
SE Belford Roxo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 SE Belfor… vs Macaé 0-0
Oct 26 SE Belfor… vs Rio de Ja… 4-0
Oct 19 SE Belfor… vs Goytacaz 1-1
Oct 12 SE Belfor… vs Santa Cru… 2-3
Oct 06 SE Belfor… vs Paraty 0-1
Sep 28 SE Belfor… vs Barra Man… 4-1
Sep 21 SE Belfor… vs 7 de Abril 0-3
Serra Macaense Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Serra Mac… vs Macaé 2-1
Nov 02 Serra Mac… vs Rio de Ja… 0-2
Oct 26 Serra Mac… vs Goytacaz 1-0
Oct 19 Serra Mac… vs Santa Cru… 0-0
Oct 12 Serra Mac… vs Paraty 2-2
Oct 11 Serra Mac… vs Boston Ci… 0-1
Oct 05 Serra Mac… vs Coimbra 6-1
Oct 05 Serra Mac… vs Barra Man… 1-1
Sep 28 Serra Mac… vs 7 de Abril 1-1
Sep 27 Serra Mac… vs Tupi 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Serra Macaense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SE Belford Roxo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SE Belford Roxo Power 0
Serra Macaense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.