AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano - 2 Oct 18, 2025

Guaraní Alagoano

Home
VS
19:00

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Guaraní Alagoano Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guaraní Alagoano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (35%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Guaraní Alagoano Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Guaraní A… vs Cruzeiro … 2-1
Oct 04 Guaraní A… vs Agrimaq 1-1
Sep 27 Guaraní A… vs Agrimaq 0-2
Sep 21 Guaraní A… vs Figueiren… 1-4
Sep 17 Guaraní A… vs Cruzeiro … 1-0
Sep 07 Guaraní A… vs Jacyobá 1-2
Aug 30 Guaraní A… vs Zumbi 2-0
Aug 23 Guaraní A… vs Agrimaq 0-3
Aug 17 Guaraní A… vs Aliança AL 1-0
Aug 13 Guaraní A… vs Dimensão … 3-0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Cruzeiro … vs Guaraní A… 2-1
Oct 06 Cruzeiro … vs Dimensão … 3-1
Sep 27 Cruzeiro … vs Dimensão … 1-1
Sep 21 Cruzeiro … vs Agrimaq 2-1
Sep 17 Cruzeiro … vs Guaraní A… 1-0
Sep 07 Cruzeiro … vs Figueiren… 2-0
Aug 30 Cruzeiro … vs Dimensão … 0-1
Aug 24 Cruzeiro … vs Aliança AL 3-0
Aug 17 Cruzeiro … vs Jacyobá 3-2
Aug 13 Cruzeiro … vs Zumbi 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guaraní Alagoano in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 12, 2025 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 2 - 1 Guaraní Alagoano Alagoano - 2
Sep 17, 2025 Guaraní Alagoano 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Alagoano - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guaraní Alagoano to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guaraní Alagoano Power 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.