Goiano - 3 · Nov 09, 2025 18:30
Bom Jesus EC
PWR 85
1 - 0
FT
Pinheiros
PWR 77
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (22%) 0-1 (19%) 1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack91
Defense83
Goals/G2.6
Conc/G0.5
Attack76
Defense80
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.6
Bom Jesus EC Form WWDWW
STABLE
Pinheiros Form WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.519%
BTTS27%
Under 2.581%
Bom Jesus EC Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
Pinheiros Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Bom Jesus EC
vs
0.84
Pinheiros
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bom Jesus EC
-1
Gap
#1
Pinheiros
WR 80% 26 pts WR 75% 28 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bom Jesus EC1082026526
Pinheiros1291226728
Bom Jesus EC 18.0%
Nov 02 Bom Jes… v Itumbia… 0-8
Oct 26 Bom Jes… v Pires d… 1-4
Oct 18 Bom Jes… v America… 1-1
Oct 11 Bom Jes… v Apareci… 2-1
Oct 03 Bom Jes… v Guanaba… 1-3
Sep 27 Bom Jes… v Rioverd… 3-0
Sep 21 Bom Jes… v Santa H… 1-3
Sep 13 Bom Jes… v Crixás … 0-0
Sep 06 Bom Jes… v ABD FC 1-0
Pinheiros 16.0%
Nov 01 Pinheir… v Apareci… 1-2
Oct 26 Pinheir… v Guanaba… 2-1
Oct 18 Pinheir… v ABD FC 2-1
Oct 11 Pinheir… v Santa H… 1-3
Oct 05 Pinheir… v Crixás … 0-1
Sep 28 Pinheir… v ASEEV 0-5
Sep 21 Pinheir… v Itumbia… 3-0
Sep 20 Pinheir… v Desport… 1-3
Sep 15 Pinheir… v Estrela… 0-1
Sep 14 Pinheir… v Pires d… 1-0
Key Factors
Bom Jesus EC in strong form (4W in last 5)
Pinheiros in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.