AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Oct 11, 2025

Raith Rovers

Home
VS
14:00

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Raith Rovers Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Ayr Utd Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.72 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 1.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Raith Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Raith Rovers Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Raith Rov… vs Ross Coun… 2-0
Oct 04 Raith Rov… vs Clyde 4-2
Sep 30 Raith Rov… vs Linlithgo… 2-6
Sep 27 Raith Rov… vs Arbroath 3-0
Sep 20 Raith Rov… vs Airdrieon… 0-0
Sep 20 Raith Rov… vs Stirling … 4-1
Sep 13 Raith Rov… vs ST Johnst… 0-2
Sep 06 Raith Rov… vs Morton 0-1
Sep 06 Raith Rov… vs Cowdenbea… 1-0
Sep 02 Raith Rov… vs Bonnyrigg… 1-1
Ayr Utd Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Ayr Utd vs ST Johnst… 0-0
Sep 27 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 4-2
Sep 23 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 0-1
Sep 13 Ayr Utd vs Ross Coun… 1-1
Aug 30 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-1
Aug 23 Ayr Utd vs Morton 2-2
Aug 16 Ayr Utd vs Partick 2-0
Aug 09 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 0-1
Aug 01 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 1-1
Jul 27 Ayr Utd vs St. Mirren 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Raith Rovers struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2025 Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 05, 2025 Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Jan 04, 2025 Ayr Utd 3 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Nov 01, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Sep 08, 2024 Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Raith Rovers Challenge Cup
Aug 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Raith Rovers Championship
Apr 06, 2024 Raith Rovers 2 - 1 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 24, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Raith Rovers Championship
Dec 22, 2023 Raith Rovers 4 - 4 Ayr Utd Championship
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Raith Rovers Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Raith Rovers Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Ayr Utd Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.