AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Ecuador Oct 13, 2025

Independiente del Valle

Home
VS
23:00

Universidad O&M

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Independiente del Valle Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Universidad O&M Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.82 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente del Valle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Universidad O&M Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Independiente del Valle Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 09 Independi… vs Gualaceo … 0-6
Oct 05 Independi… vs FC Barcel… 0-3
Sep 28 Independi… vs Delfín SC 0-0
Sep 25 Independi… vs Once Cald… 0-2
Sep 20 Independi… vs Mushuc Ru… 2-2
Sep 13 Independi… vs Cuniburo 3-1
Aug 30 Independi… vs Tecnico U… 4-0
Aug 24 Independi… vs Emelec 0-1
Aug 17 Independi… vs Orense SC 2-1
Aug 10 Independi… vs Manta 0-0
Universidad O&M Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Universid… vs LDU Quito 2-2
Oct 05 Universid… vs Moca 2-2
Oct 01 Universid… vs Mount Ple… 2-0
Sep 28 Universid… vs Deportivo… 2-1
Sep 27 Universid… vs Atlántico 2-1
Sep 25 Universid… vs Moca 1-2
Sep 21 Universid… vs San Crist… 1-1
Sep 21 Universid… vs LDU Quito 2-4
Sep 18 Universid… vs Robin Hood 1-3
Sep 13 Universid… vs Vega Real 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente del Valle in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 29, 2025 Universidad O&M 0 - 3 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Mar 02, 2025 Independiente del V… 1 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Oct 29, 2024 Independiente del V… 1 - 2 Universidad O&M Copa Ecuador
Oct 22, 2024 Universidad O&M 0 - 1 Independiente del V… Copa Ecuador
Sep 28, 2024 Independiente del V… 5 - 2 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Apr 14, 2024 Universidad O&M 2 - 2 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Aug 26, 2023 Independiente del V… 0 - 1 Universidad O&M Liga Pro
Mar 31, 2023 Universidad O&M 2 - 3 Independiente del V… Liga Pro
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente del Valle to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente del Valle Power 0
Universidad O&M Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.