Capixaba B · Oct 11, 2025 19:30
Fortaleza
PWR 84
Fortaleza
PWR 84
1 - 0
FT
Serra Talhada
PWR 78
PWR 78
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack77
Defense93
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.2
Attack100
Defense75
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G0.7
Fortaleza Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Serra Talhada Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.567%
BTTS59%
Under 2.533%
Fortaleza Goals
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Serra Talha… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.76
Fortalezavs
0.92
Serra TalhadaDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#8
Fortaleza-1
Gap#7
Serra Talha…
WR 80% 13 pts
WR 57% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 13 |
| Serra Talhada | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 13 |
Fortaleza
16.0%
| Oct 05 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 1-2 |
| Oct 04 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 0-1 |
| Oct 02 | Fortale… v São Pau… | 0-2 |
| Sep 28 | Fortale… v Estrela… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 1-0 |
| Sep 23 | Fortale… v Juventu… | 5-0 |
| Sep 21 | Fortale… v Palmeir… | 4-1 |
| Sep 20 | Fortale… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Fortale… v RB Brag… | 2-0 |
| Sep 14 | Fortale… v GEL | 7-0 |
Serra Talhada
14.0%
| Sep 27 | Serra T… v Linhares | 0-0 |
| Sep 12 | Serra T… v Linhares | 2-1 |
| Sep 05 | Serra T… v GEL | 1-9 |
| Aug 29 | Serra T… v Estrela… | 1-2 |
| Aug 15 | Serra T… v Pinheir… | 4-0 |
| Aug 09 | Serra T… v Desport… | 5-0 |
| Jul 15 | Serra T… v Porto V… | 3-0 |
| Jul 08 | Serra T… v Porto V… | 1-2 |
| Jun 25 | Serra T… v Real No… | 3-4 |
| Jun 04 | Serra T… v Porto V… | 2-3 |
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (4W in last 5)
Serra Talhada in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.