League One · May 03, 2025 14:00
Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
Exeter City
PWR 36
Mansfield Town FC
PWR 37
3 - 0
FT
Exeter City
PWR 36
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSN/A
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense67
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.1
Attack35
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Mansfield Town… Form
WLLDL
STABLE
Exeter City Form
WLDDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS79%
Under 2.523%
Mansfield T… Goals
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Exeter City Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.71
Mansfield Town…vs
1.87
Exeter CityDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings57%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Mansfield T…+1
Gap#13
Exeter City
WR 43% 39 pts
WR 25% 38 pts
Mansfield Town…
6.0%
| Apr 30 | Mansfie… v Peterbo… | 4-2 |
| Apr 27 | Mansfie… v Birming… | 4-0 |
| Apr 21 | Mansfie… v Reading… | 1-5 |
| Apr 18 | Mansfie… v Rotherh… | 3-3 |
| Apr 08 | Mansfie… v Leyton … | 2-3 |
| Apr 05 | Mansfie… v Hudders… | 2-1 |
| Apr 01 | Mansfie… v Charlton | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Mansfie… v Bristol… | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Mansfie… v Burnley | 2-1 |
| Mar 11 | Mansfie… v Exeter … | 2-0 |
Exeter City
12.0%
| Apr 26 | Exeter … v Hudders… | 3-1 |
| Apr 21 | Exeter … v Crawley… | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Exeter … v Bolton | 0-0 |
| Apr 18 | Exeter … v Brighton | 0-0 |
| Apr 12 | Exeter … v Bristol… | 1-2 |
| Apr 08 | Exeter … v Wigan | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Exeter … v Stockpo… | 0-2 |
| Apr 01 | Exeter … v Burnley | 1-2 |
| Mar 29 | Exeter … v Wrexham | 0-2 |
| Mar 22 | Exeter … v Lincoln | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Mar 11, 2025 | Exeter City | 2-0 | Mansfield Tow… |
| Mar 04, 2022 | Mansfield Tow… | 2-1 | Exeter City |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Exeter City | 2-1 | Mansfield Tow… |
| Apr 05, 2021 | Exeter City | 0-0 | Mansfield Tow… |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Mansfield Tow… | 1-2 | Exeter City |
Key Factors
Mansfield Town FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.