AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One May 07, 2024

Bolton

Home
VS
19:00

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Burnley Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.29 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Bolton Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Bolton vs Everton 1-1
May 03 Bolton vs Burnley 1-3
May 03 Bolton vs Everton 1-1
Apr 27 Bolton vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Apr 27 Bolton vs Peterboro… 3-3
Apr 27 Bolton vs Wolves 2-1
Apr 27 Bolton vs Peterboro… 3-3
Apr 27 Bolton vs Wolves 2-1
Apr 20 Bolton vs Port Vale 2-0
Apr 20 Bolton vs Reading FC 3-2
Burnley Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Burnley vs Solihull … 2-2
May 04 Burnley vs Newcastle… 1-4
May 04 Burnley vs Newcastle… 1-4
May 03 Burnley vs Bolton 1-3
Apr 28 Burnley vs Altrincham 3-1
Apr 27 Burnley vs Northampt… 1-1
Apr 27 Burnley vs Mancheste… 1-1
Apr 27 Burnley vs Northampt… 1-1
Apr 27 Burnley vs Mancheste… 1-1
Apr 20 Burnley vs Blackpool 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burnley struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2024 Burnley 1 - 3 Bolton League One
Apr 01, 2024 Bolton 1 - 3 Burnley Pro League
Mar 05, 2024 Burnley 2 - 2 Bolton Pro League
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1 - 1 Burnley Pro League
Jan 12, 2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Feb 08, 2022 Bolton 2 - 1 Burnley Championship
Aug 17, 2021 Burnley 0 - 1 Bolton Championship
Apr 05, 2021 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Championship
Sep 12, 2020 Burnley 0 - 1 Bolton Championship
Jul 07, 2020 Bolton 1 - 1 Burnley Championship
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
Bolton Power 39
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.