League One · May 03, 2024 18:30
Burnley
PWR 25
Bolton
PWR 39
Burnley
PWR 25
1 - 3
FT
Bolton
PWR 39
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
1-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 8% = high draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.1%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack38
Defense73
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G0.9
Burnley Form
WDDDD
STABLE
Bolton Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS59%
Under 2.539%
Burnley Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Bolton Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Burnleyvs
0.92
BoltonDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Burnley-11
Gap#1
Bolton
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 45% 263 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Bolton | 166 | 74 | 41 | 51 | 235 | 201 | 263 |
Burnley
12.0%
| Apr 28 | Burnley v Altrinc… | 3-1 |
| Apr 27 | Burnley v Northam… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Burnley v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Burnley v Northam… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Burnley v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Blackpo… | 3-2 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Blackpo… | 3-2 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Sheffie… | 1-4 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Gateshe… | 2-1 |
| Apr 16 | Burnley v Portsmo… | 3-2 |
Bolton
4.0%
| Apr 27 | Bolton v Fleetwo… | 3-0 |
| Apr 27 | Bolton v Peterbo… | 3-3 |
| Apr 27 | Bolton v Wolves | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Bolton v Peterbo… | 3-3 |
| Apr 27 | Bolton v Wolves | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Bolton v Port Va… | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Bolton v Reading… | 3-2 |
| Apr 20 | Bolton v Brentfo… | 1-5 |
| Apr 20 | Bolton v Port Va… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Bolton v Shrewsb… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 01, 2024 | Bolton | 1-3 | Burnley |
| Mar 05, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Bolton |
| Mar 05, 2024 | Burnley | 2-2 | Bolton |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Burnley | 1-1 | Bolton |
| May 19, 2023 | Burnley | 1-0 | Bolton |
| May 13, 2023 | Bolton | 1-1 | Burnley |
| Jan 02, 2023 | Burnley | 0-3 | Bolton |
| Feb 08, 2022 | Bolton | 2-1 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Bolton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.