League One · Apr 27, 2024 11:30

Burnley
PWR 25

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31

Burnley
PWR 25
1 - 1
FT

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Burnley to win (90% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
90%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (20%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 9% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 9%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack31
Defense41
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Burnley Form
LLWLL
DOWN
Northampton To… Form
LLLLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS16%
Under 2.560%
Burnley Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Northampton… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Burnleyvs
0.20
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#12
Burnley+1
Gap#13
Northampton…
WR 36% 101 pts
WR 27% 100 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77 | 28 | 17 | 32 | 117 | 128 | 101 |
| Northampton Tow… | 96 | 26 | 22 | 48 | 92 | 133 | 100 |
Burnley
4.0%
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Blackpo… | 3-2 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Blackpo… | 3-2 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Sheffie… | 1-4 |
| Apr 20 | Burnley v Gateshe… | 2-1 |
| Apr 16 | Burnley v Portsmo… | 3-2 |
| Apr 16 | Burnley v Portsmo… | 3-2 |
| Apr 16 | Burnley v Oxford … | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | Burnley v Brighton | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Burnley v Reading… | 2-2 |
| Apr 13 | Burnley v Brighton | 1-1 |
Northampton To…
4.0%
| Apr 20 | Northam… v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Northam… v Exeter … | 1-2 |
| Apr 13 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 13 | Northam… v Fleetwo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 06 | Northam… v Carlisle | 2-0 |
| Apr 01 | Northam… v Port Va… | 2-0 |
| Apr 01 | Northam… v Port Va… | 2-0 |
| Mar 29 | Northam… v Reading… | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Northam… v Reading… | 1-0 |
| Mar 23 | Northam… v Derby | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Sep 23, 2023 | Northampton T… | 1-2 | Burnley |
Key Factors
Burnley struggling (4L in last 5)
Northampton Town FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.