League Two · Apr 18, 2025 14:00
Watford
PWR 36
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Watford
PWR 36
1 - 2
FT
Accrington ST
PWR 37
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%)
3-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 1.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack39
Defense65
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.2
Attack36
Defense68
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.1
Watford Form
DLWWL
STABLE
Accrington ST Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.548%
BTTS17%
Under 2.552%
Watford Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Accrington … Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Watfordvs
0.20
Accrington STDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Watford+2
Gap#12
Accrington …
WR 34% 110 pts
WR 35% 94 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 83 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 112 | 114 | 110 |
| Accrington ST | 74 | 26 | 16 | 32 | 91 | 98 | 94 |
Watford
10.0%
| Apr 15 | Watford v Doncast… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Watford v West Br… | 2-1 |
| Apr 11 | Watford v Newport… | 1-3 |
| Apr 08 | Watford v Hull Ci… | 1-0 |
| Apr 05 | Watford v Bristol… | 2-1 |
| Apr 05 | Watford v Birming… | 2-2 |
| Apr 01 | Watford v Barrow | 1-1 |
| Apr 01 | Watford v Barrow | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | Watford v Burnley | 2-3 |
| Mar 29 | Watford v Plymouth | 0-0 |
Accrington ST
4.0%
| Apr 12 | Accring… v Tranmer… | 3-3 |
| Apr 05 | Accring… v Burnley | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Accring… v Burnley | 4-0 |
| Apr 01 | Accring… v Fleetwo… | 1-4 |
| Mar 29 | Accring… v Brentfo… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Accring… v Swindon | 0-0 |
| Mar 15 | Accring… v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Accring… v Newport… | 5-0 |
| Mar 11 | Accring… v Newport… | 5-0 |
| Mar 08 | Accring… v Barrow | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Dec 21, 2024 | Accrington ST | 0-2 | Watford |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Accrington ST | 0-2 | Watford |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Accrington ST | 3-0 | Watford |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Accrington ST | 3-0 | Watford |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Watford | 1-2 | Accrington ST |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Watford | 0-0 | Accrington ST |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Watford | 0-1 | Accrington ST |
Key Factors
Accrington ST struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.