Predictions Match Details
La Liga · May 11, 2025 14:15
FC Barcelona
PWR 78
4 - 3
FT

Real Madrid
PWR 49
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
PRO: FC Barcelona to win (67% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
67%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack85
Defense70
Goals/G2.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack64
Defense75
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G0.8
FC Barcelona Form LWWDW
STABLE
Real Madrid Form WWWDL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS56%
Under 2.534%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
Real Madrid Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.94
FC Barcelona
vs
0.90
Real Madrid
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
FC Barcelona
-3
Gap
#1
Real Madrid
WR 80% 188 pts WR 64% 287 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
FC Barcelona75608718364188
Real Madrid134862919268123287
FC Barcelona 14.0%
May 06 FC Barc… v Inter 4-3
May 04 FC Barc… v Cuniburo 2-1
May 03 FC Barc… v Vallado… 1-2
Apr 30 FC Barc… v Inter 3-3
Apr 27 FC Barc… v Macará 0-1
Apr 26 FC Barc… v Real Ma… 3-2
Apr 19 FC Barc… v El Naci… 1-0
Apr 19 FC Barc… v Celta d… 4-3
Apr 19 FC Barc… v Celta 4-3
Apr 15 FC Barc… v Borussi… 3-1
Real Madrid 14.0%
May 10 Real Ma… v Real So… 4-0
May 04 Real Ma… v Celta 3-2
May 04 Real Ma… v Celta d… 3-2
May 03 Real Ma… v Alavés 0-0
Apr 26 Real Ma… v FC Barc… 3-2
Apr 24 Real Ma… v Valencia 3-0
Apr 23 Real Ma… v Getafe 0-1
Apr 20 Real Ma… v Athleti… 1-0
Apr 20 Real Ma… v Ath Bil… 1-0
Apr 19 Real Ma… v Las Pal… 1-0
Head-to-Head (9)
Apr 26, 2025 FC Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid
Mar 16, 2025 Real Madrid 2-4 FC Barcelona
Jan 12, 2025 Real Madrid 2-5 FC Barcelona
Dec 21, 2024 FC Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Oct 26, 2024 Real Madrid 0-4 FC Barcelona
Apr 21, 2024 Real Madrid 3-2 FC Barcelona
Mar 17, 2024 Real Madrid 0-3 FC Barcelona
Jan 14, 2024 Real Madrid 4-1 FC Barcelona
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1-0 Real Madrid
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5)
Real Madrid in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.