Copa del Rey · Jan 24, 2024 20:30

Athletic Club
PWR 30
4 - 2
FT
FC Barcelona
PWR 67
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Athletic Club to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.2% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack100
Defense39
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G1.8
Athletic Club Form LWWWW
STABLE
FC Barcelona Form WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.575%
BTTS80%
Under 2.525%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
3%
1
12%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.38
Athletic Club
vs
1.79
FC Barcelona
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum88%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Athletic Cl…
+8
Gap
#10
FC Barcelona
WR 67% 39 pts WR 63% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Athletic Club181233341839
FC Barcelona8512231416
Athletic Club 16.0%
Jan 20 Athleti… v Valencia 1-0
Jan 16 Athleti… v Alavés 2-0
Jan 13 Athleti… v Real So… 2-1
Jan 07 Athleti… v Eibar 0-3
Jan 04 Athleti… v Sevilla… 0-2
Dec 16 Athleti… v Atlétic… 2-0
Nov 10 Athleti… v Celta d… 4-3
Oct 29 Athleti… v Valencia 2-2
Oct 22 Athleti… v FC Barc… 1-0
Sep 30 Athleti… v Real So… 3-0
FC Barcelona 16.0%
Jan 21 FC Barc… v Real Be… 2-4
Jan 21 FC Barc… v Real Be… 2-4
Jan 14 FC Barc… v Real Ma… 4-1
Jan 11 FC Barc… v Osasuna 2-0
Jan 04 FC Barc… v Las Pal… 1-2
Dec 20 FC Barc… v Algeria 3-2
Dec 16 FC Barc… v Valencia 1-1
Dec 13 FC Barc… v Antwerp 3-2
Dec 10 FC Barc… v Girona 2-4
Dec 03 FC Barc… v Real Ma… 1-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Oct 22, 2023 FC Barcelona 1-0 Athletic Club
Mar 12, 2023 Athletic Club 0-1 FC Barcelona
Oct 23, 2022 FC Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Club
Feb 27, 2022 FC Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Club
Jan 20, 2022 Athletic Club 3-2 FC Barcelona
Key Factors
Athletic Club in strong form (4W in last 5)
FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.