AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jan 08, 2025

Athletic Club

Home
VS
19:00

FC Barcelona

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Athletic Club Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
FC Barcelona Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.31 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Athletic Club Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 Athletic … vs Osasuna 1-2
Dec 04 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 2-1
Nov 24 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 1-0
Oct 28 Athletic … vs Mallorca 0-0
Oct 24 Athletic … vs Slavia Pr… 1-0
Sep 29 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Sep 22 Athletic … vs Celta de … 3-1
Aug 31 Athletic … vs Atlético … 0-1
Aug 28 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-0
Aug 24 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 2-1
FC Barcelona Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 21 FC Barcel… vs Atlético … 1-2
Dec 21 FC Barcel… vs Real Madr… 1-2
Dec 15 FC Barcel… vs Levante 0-1
Dec 07 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 2-2
Dec 07 FC Barcel… vs Real Betis 2-2
Dec 03 FC Barcel… vs Mallorca 1-5
Dec 01 FC Barcel… vs Mushuc Ru… 2-2
Nov 30 FC Barcel… vs Las Palmas 1-2
Nov 23 FC Barcel… vs Tecnico U… 2-2
Nov 23 FC Barcel… vs Celta 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletic Club in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Barcelona struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 24, 2024 FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Mar 03, 2024 Athletic Club 0 - 0 FC Barcelona La Liga
Jan 24, 2024 Athletic Club 4 - 2 FC Barcelona Copa del Rey
Oct 22, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Mar 12, 2023 Athletic Club 0 - 1 FC Barcelona La Liga
Oct 23, 2022 FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Feb 27, 2022 FC Barcelona 4 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Jan 20, 2022 Athletic Club 3 - 2 FC Barcelona Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

MASTER: Athletic Club to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 30 vs 0
Athletic Club Power 30
FC Barcelona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.