AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super Cup Jan 14, 2024

Real Madrid

Home
VS
19:00

FC Barcelona

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Real Madrid Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Barcelona Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.60 - 1.19
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
FC Barcelona Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Real Madrid Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Real Madr… vs Atlético … 5-3
Jan 03 Real Madr… vs Mallorca 1-0
Jan 03 Real Madr… vs Girona 4-3
Dec 23 Real Madr… vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Dec 21 Real Madr… vs Alavés 0-1
Dec 21 Real Madr… vs Alavés 0-1
Dec 19 Real Madr… vs Getafe 3-3
Dec 17 Real Madr… vs Villarreal 4-1
Dec 17 Real Madr… vs Villarreal 4-1
Dec 16 Real Madr… vs Ath Bilbao 2-0
FC Barcelona Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 FC Barcel… vs Osasuna 2-0
Jan 04 FC Barcel… vs Las Palmas 1-2
Dec 20 FC Barcel… vs Almería 3-2
Dec 16 FC Barcel… vs Valencia 1-1
Dec 13 FC Barcel… vs Antwerp 3-2
Dec 10 FC Barcel… vs Girona 2-4
Dec 03 FC Barcel… vs Real Madr… 1-0
Dec 03 FC Barcel… vs Universid… 0-1
Dec 03 FC Barcel… vs Atlético … 1-0
Nov 25 FC Barcel… vs Valencia 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • FC Barcelona in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Madrid Pro League
Final Verdict

MASTER: Real Madrid to win (75% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-0 75% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 49 vs 0
Real Madrid Power 49
FC Barcelona Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.