Bundesliga · May 03, 2025 13:30
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC St. Pauli to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
1-2 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-2 (8%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
GOLD · 3 rules · 50%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
FC St. Pauli Form
DDWDD
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form
LLDLW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS50%
Under 2.556%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
FC St. Paulivs
1.34
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
FC St. Pauli-12
Gap#5
VfB Stuttga…
WR 30% 17 pts
WR 46% 39 pts
FC St. Pauli
12.0%
| Apr 27 | FC St. … v Werder … | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | FC St. … v Bayer L… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | FC St. … v Holstei… | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | FC St. … v M'gladb… | 1-1 |
| Mar 29 | FC St. … v Bayern … | 3-2 |
| Mar 14 | FC St. … v 1899 Ho… | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | FC St. … v VfL Wol… | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | FC St. … v Borussi… | 0-2 |
| Feb 22 | FC St. … v Mainz | 2-0 |
VfB Stuttgart
6.0%
| Apr 25 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 0-1 |
| Apr 25 | VfB Stu… v FC Heid… | 0-1 |
| Apr 19 | VfB Stu… v Union B… | 4-4 |
| Apr 13 | VfB Stu… v Werder … | 1-2 |
| Apr 05 | VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… | 0-4 |
| Apr 02 | VfB Stu… v RB Leip… | 3-1 |
| Mar 29 | VfB Stu… v Eintrac… | 1-0 |
| Mar 16 | VfB Stu… v Bayer L… | 3-4 |
| Mar 08 | VfB Stu… v Holstei… | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Dec 21, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | FC St. Pauli |
| Dec 21, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart | 0-1 | FC St. Pauli |
Key Factors
VfB Stuttgart struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.