Predictions Match Details
Bundesliga · Apr 20, 2025 17:30

FC St. Pauli
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
41% H 26% D 33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 37%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
FC St. Pauli Form WDDLW
STABLE
Bayer Leverkus… Form DWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS34%
Under 2.573%
FC St. Pauli Goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
FC St. Pauli
vs
1.09
Bayer Leverkus…
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#17
FC St. Pauli
-11
Gap
#6
Bayer Lever…
WR 30% 17 pts WR 50% 36 pts
FC St. Pauli 12.0%
Apr 12 FC St. … v Holstei… 1-2
Apr 06 FC St. … v Borussi… 1-1
Apr 06 FC St. … v M'gladb… 1-1
Mar 29 FC St. … v Bayern … 3-2
Mar 14 FC St. … v 1899 Ho… 1-0
Mar 08 FC St. … v VfL Wol… 1-1
Mar 01 FC St. … v Borussi… 0-2
Feb 22 FC St. … v Mainz 2-0
Feb 15 FC St. … v SC Frei… 0-1
Feb 09 FC St. … v RB Leip… 2-0
Bayer Leverkus… 14.0%
Apr 12 Bayer L… v Union B… 0-0
Apr 05 Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… 0-1
Apr 01 Bayer L… v Arminia… 2-1
Mar 28 Bayer L… v VfL Boc… 3-1
Mar 16 Bayer L… v VfB Stu… 3-4
Mar 11 Bayer L… v Bayern … 0-2
Mar 08 Bayer L… v Werder … 0-2
Mar 05 Bayer L… v Bayern … 3-0
Mar 01 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 1-4
Feb 22 Bayer L… v Holstei… 0-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Dec 07, 2024 Bayer Leverku… 2-1 FC St. Pauli
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.