Bundesliga · Apr 27, 2024 16:30
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
2 - 2
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Bayer Leverkusen to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (22%)
2-0 (20%)
3-0 (12%)
0-0 (12%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form
DDDWW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.535%
BTTS22%
Under 2.565%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Bayer Leverkus…vs
0.30
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Bayer Lever…-1
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 60% 36 pts
WR 46% 39 pts
Bayer Leverkus…
14.0%
| Apr 21 | Bayer L… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Bayer L… v Borussi… | 1-1 |
| Apr 18 | Bayer L… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Apr 14 | Bayer L… v Werder … | 5-0 |
| Apr 14 | Bayer L… v Werder … | 5-0 |
| Apr 11 | Bayer L… v West Br… | 2-0 |
| Apr 06 | Bayer L… v Union B… | 0-1 |
| Apr 03 | Bayer L… v Fortuna… | 4-0 |
| Mar 30 | Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… | 2-1 |
| Mar 30 | Bayer L… v 1899 Ho… | 2-1 |
VfB Stuttgart
12.0%
| Apr 21 | VfB Stu… v Werder … | 2-1 |
| Apr 21 | VfB Stu… v Werder … | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | VfB Stu… v Eintrac… | 3-0 |
| Apr 13 | VfB Stu… v Eintrac… | 3-0 |
| Apr 06 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 0-1 |
| Mar 31 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 3-3 |
| Mar 16 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 0-3 |
| Mar 16 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 0-3 |
| Mar 08 | VfB Stu… v Union B… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 06, 2024 | Bayer Leverku… | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Dec 10, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| May 14, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-1 | Bayer Leverku… |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Bayer Leverku… | 2-0 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Bayer Leverku… | 4-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
| Sep 19, 2021 | VfB Stuttgart | 1-3 | Bayer Leverku… |
Key Factors
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.