2. Bundesliga · Apr 20, 2024 18:30
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
Hamburger SV
PWR 29
0 - 1
FT
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
PRO: Holstein Kiel to win (73% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
73%
Confidence
PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Match Analyzer PRO
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (9%)
1-3 (8%)
0-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
0-3 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense54
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.5
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Hamburger SV Form
DDWDW
STABLE
Holstein Kiel Form
WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.569%
BTTS66%
Under 2.531%
Hamburger SV Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Holstein Kiā¦ Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Hamburger SVvs
2.62
Holstein KielDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#14
Hamburger SV-3
Gap#11
Holstein Kiā¦
WR 43% 77 pts
WR 39% 97 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV | 49 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 96 | 67 | 77 |
| Holstein Kiel | 67 | 26 | 19 | 22 | 104 | 99 | 97 |
Hamburger SV
14.0%
| Apr 14 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 2-2 |
| Apr 14 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Augsā¦ | 2-2 |
| Apr 06 | Hamburgā¦ v FC Kaisā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 31 | Hamburgā¦ v SpVgg Gā¦ | 1-1 |
| Mar 17 | Hamburgā¦ v SV Wehen | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Hamburgā¦ v Fortunaā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 03 | Hamburgā¦ v VfL Osnā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Hamburgā¦ v SV Elveā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 17 | Hamburgā¦ v Hansa Rā¦ | 2-2 |
| Feb 09 | Hamburgā¦ v Hannoveā¦ | 3-4 |
Holstein Kiel
20.0%
| Apr 13 | Holsteiā¦ v VfL Osnā¦ | 4-0 |
| Apr 06 | Holsteiā¦ v FC Nurnā¦ | 0-4 |
| Mar 30 | Holsteiā¦ v Hansa Rā¦ | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Holsteiā¦ v SV Elveā¦ | 0-2 |
| Mar 09 | Holsteiā¦ v Karlsruā¦ | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Holsteiā¦ v Hertha ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Holsteiā¦ v Hertha | 2-2 |
| Feb 23 | Holsteiā¦ v FC St. ā¦ | 3-4 |
| Feb 17 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 0-4 |
| Feb 17 | Holsteiā¦ v SC Padeā¦ | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Nov 11, 2023 | Holstein Kiel | 4-2 | Hamburger SV |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Hamburger SV | 0-0 | Holstein Kiel |
| Sep 09, 2022 | Holstein Kiel | 2-3 | Hamburger SV |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Holstein Kiel | 1-0 | Hamburger SV |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Hamburger SV | 1-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Nov 09, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 1-1 | Hamburger SV |
| Jun 08, 2020 | Hamburger SV | 3-3 | Holstein Kiel |
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.