DFB Pokal · Oct 29, 2024 19:45
VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
VfL Wolfsburg
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Borussia Dortmund
PWR 47
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
2-2 (4%)
3-0 (3%)
3-3 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 5.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack30
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack61
Defense72
Goals/G2.1
Conc/G1.0
VfL Wolfsburg Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Borussia Dortm… Form
LWWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS82%
Under 2.529%
VfL Wolfsbu… Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Borussia Do… Goals
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.93
VfL Wolfsburgvs
1.81
Borussia Dortm…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#13
VfL Wolfsbu…-1
Gap#12
Borussia Do…
WR 43% 9 pts
WR 38% 10 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 9 |
| Borussia Dortmu… | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
VfL Wolfsburg
8.0%
| Oct 26 | VfL Wol… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Oct 26 | VfL Wol… v FC St. … | 0-0 |
| Oct 20 | VfL Wol… v Werder … | 2-4 |
| Oct 20 | VfL Wol… v Werder … | 2-4 |
| Oct 05 | VfL Wol… v VfL Boc… | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | VfL Wol… v VfB Stu… | 2-2 |
| Sep 22 | VfL Wol… v Bayer L… | 4-3 |
| Sep 22 | VfL Wol… v Bayer L… | 4-3 |
| Sep 14 | VfL Wol… v Eintrac… | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | VfL Wol… v Holstei… | 0-2 |
Borussia Dortm…
8.0%
| Oct 26 | Borussi… v FC Augs… | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Borussi… v FC St. … | 2-1 |
| Oct 18 | Borussi… v FC St. … | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Borussi… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| Oct 05 | Borussi… v Union B… | 2-1 |
| Sep 27 | Borussi… v VfL Boc… | 4-2 |
| Sep 22 | Borussi… v VfB Stu… | 5-1 |
| Sep 22 | Borussi… v VfB Stu… | 5-1 |
| Sep 13 | Borussi… v 1899 Ho… | 4-2 |
| Sep 13 | Borussi… v FC Heid… | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Borussia Dort… |
| Feb 17, 2024 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Borussia Dort… |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Borussia Dort… | 1-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| May 07, 2023 | Borussia Dort… | 6-0 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Nov 08, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2-0 | Borussia Dort… |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Borussia Dort… | 6-1 | VfL Wolfsburg |
| Nov 27, 2021 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-3 | Borussia Dort… |
Key Factors
Borussia Dortmund struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.