DFB Pokal · Feb 06, 2024 19:45

Bayer Leverkusen
PWR 42
3 - 2
FT

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 12%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense59
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Bayer Leverkus… Form WDDWW
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form WWWLL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.539%
BTTS16%
Under 2.561%
Bayer Lever… Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Bayer Leverkus…
vs
0.20
VfB Stuttgart
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Bayer Lever…
-1
Gap
#1
VfB Stuttga…
WR 91% 30 pts WR 79% 34 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Bayer Leverkusen11100127930
VfB Stuttgart141112361434
Bayer Leverkus… 16.0%
Feb 03 Bayer L… v SV Darm… 0-2
Jan 27 Bayer L… v Borussi… 0-0
Jan 27 Bayer L… v M'gladb… 0-0
Jan 20 Bayer L… v RB Leip… 2-3
Jan 20 Bayer L… v RB Leip… 2-3
Jan 13 Bayer L… v FC Augs… 0-1
Jan 13 Bayer L… v FC Augs… 0-1
Dec 20 Bayer L… v VfL Boc… 4-0
Dec 17 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 3-0
Dec 17 Bayer L… v Eintrac… 3-0
VfB Stuttgart 12.0%
Feb 03 VfB Stu… v SC Frei… 1-3
Feb 03 VfB Stu… v SC Frei… 1-3
Jan 27 VfB Stu… v RB Leip… 5-2
Jan 20 VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… 1-0
Jan 20 VfB Stu… v VfL Boc… 1-0
Jan 14 VfB Stu… v Borussi… 3-1
Jan 14 VfB Stu… v M'gladb… 3-1
Dec 20 VfB Stu… v FC Augs… 3-0
Dec 20 VfB Stu… v FC Augs… 3-0
Dec 17 VfB Stu… v Bayern … 3-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
Dec 10, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
May 14, 2023 VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverku…
Nov 12, 2022 Bayer Leverku… 2-0 VfB Stuttgart
Feb 12, 2022 Bayer Leverku… 4-2 VfB Stuttgart
Sep 19, 2021 VfB Stuttgart 1-3 Bayer Leverku…
Key Factors
Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5)
VfB Stuttgart in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.