AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Frauen Bundesliga May 11, 2024

SGS Essen Women

Home
VS
10:00

FC Köln Women

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
SGS Essen Women Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
FC Köln Women Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.89 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SGS Essen Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
FC Köln Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
SGS Essen Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 SGS Essen… vs SC Freibu… 0-1
Apr 20 SGS Essen… vs 1899 Hoff… 2-1
Apr 14 SGS Essen… vs FC Nurnbe… 0-4
Mar 24 SGS Essen… vs Bayer Lev… 0-0
Mar 16 SGS Essen… vs Werder Br… 0-0
Mar 08 SGS Essen… vs MSV Duisb… 4-1
Mar 05 SGS Essen… vs Bayer Lev… 1-2
Feb 18 SGS Essen… vs Bayern Mu… 2-0
Feb 04 SGS Essen… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Dec 09 SGS Essen… vs SC Freibu… 0-1
FC Köln Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 FC Köln W… vs VfL Wolfs… 5-1
Apr 21 FC Köln W… vs SC Freibu… 2-0
Apr 15 FC Köln W… vs 1899 Hoff… 1-1
Mar 23 FC Köln W… vs FC Nurnbe… 3-4
Mar 18 FC Köln W… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Mar 10 FC Köln W… vs Werder Br… 2-1
Feb 18 FC Köln W… vs MSV Duisb… 0-0
Feb 03 FC Köln W… vs RB Leipzi… 2-1
Jan 28 FC Köln W… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Dec 09 FC Köln W… vs VfL Wolfs… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • SGS Essen Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC Köln Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Köln Women to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
SGS Essen Women Power 19
FC Köln Women Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

SGS Essen Women Position

-5

Position Gap

8

FC Köln Women Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.