Serie A · May 11, 2025 18:45
Napoli
PWR 40
Genoa
PWR 32
Napoli
PWR 40
2 - 2
FT
Genoa
PWR 32
63% H
21% D
16% A
Final Verdict
Napoli Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
82%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (27%)
2-0 (21%)
0-0 (18%)
3-0 (10%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 82%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy88%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPHOME_FORMTABLE_EXTREMESDOMINANT_COMBO
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 82% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack43
Defense73
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G0.9
Attack35
Defense56
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.5
Napoli Form
WWWWD
UP
Genoa Form
LLLDW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.524%
BTTS14%
Under 2.576%
Napoli Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Genoa Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Napolivs
0.20
GenoaDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum84%
Standings90%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Napoli+13
Gap#16
Genoa
WR 73% 49 pts
WR 18% 23 pts
Napoli
18.0%
| May 03 | Napoli v Lecce | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Napoli v Torino | 2-0 |
| Apr 19 | Napoli v Monza | 0-1 |
| Apr 14 | Napoli v Empoli | 3-0 |
| Apr 07 | Napoli v Bologna | 1-1 |
| Mar 30 | Napoli v AC Milan | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Napoli v Venezia | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | Napoli v Fiorent… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Napoli v Inter | 1-1 |
| Feb 23 | Napoli v Como | 2-1 |
Genoa
6.0%
| May 05 | Genoa v AC Milan | 1-2 |
| Apr 27 | Genoa v Como | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Genoa v Lazio | 0-2 |
| Apr 13 | Genoa v Verona | 0-0 |
| Apr 04 | Genoa v Udinese | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Genoa v Juventus | 1-0 |
| Mar 14 | Genoa v Lecce | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Genoa v Cagliari | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | Genoa v Empoli | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Genoa v Inter | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 21, 2024 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Napoli | 1-1 | Genoa |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Napoli | 1-1 | Genoa |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Genoa | 2-2 | Napoli |
| May 15, 2022 | Napoli | 3-0 | Genoa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Genoa | 2-1 | Napoli |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Napoli | 6-0 | Genoa |
| Jul 08, 2020 | Genoa | 1-2 | Napoli |
Key Factors
Napoli in strong form (4W in last 5)
Genoa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.