AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 May 17, 2025

Strasbourg

Home
VS
19:00

LE Havre AC

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Strasbourg Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
LE Havre AC Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.24 - 1.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 1.3 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
LE Havre AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Strasbourg Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Strasbourg vs Angers 2-1
May 03 Strasbourg vs Paris FC 2-1
May 03 Strasbourg vs Paris Sai… 2-1
Apr 26 Strasbourg vs St Etienne 3-1
Apr 19 Strasbourg vs Monaco 0-0
Apr 12 Strasbourg vs Nice 2-2
Apr 06 Strasbourg vs Reims 0-1
Mar 28 Strasbourg vs Lyon 4-2
Mar 16 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 2-1
Mar 09 Strasbourg vs Nantes 0-1
LE Havre AC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 LE Havre … vs Marseille 1-3
May 04 LE Havre … vs Auxerre 1-2
Apr 26 LE Havre … vs Monaco 1-1
Apr 19 LE Havre … vs Paris FC 2-1
Apr 19 LE Havre … vs Paris Sai… 2-1
Apr 13 LE Havre … vs Rennes FC 1-5
Apr 06 LE Havre … vs Montpelli… 0-2
Mar 30 LE Havre … vs Nantes 3-2
Mar 16 LE Havre … vs Lyon 4-2
Mar 09 LE Havre … vs St Etienne 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Strasbourg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • LE Havre AC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 15, 2024 LE Havre AC 0 - 3 Strasbourg Pro League
May 04, 2024 LE Havre AC 3 - 1 Strasbourg Pro League
May 04, 2024 LE Havre AC 3 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Feb 07, 2024 Strasbourg 3 - 1 LE Havre AC Coupe de France
Dec 10, 2023 Strasbourg 2 - 1 LE Havre AC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Strasbourg to win (55% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 55% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Strasbourg Power 39
LE Havre AC Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Strasbourg Position

+8

Position Gap

15

LE Havre AC Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.